Garbage article, very little beyond speculation.
Love non-technical website headlines.
“With the prices of solid-state drives expected to reach parity with hard-disk drives next year, are HDDs doomed?” nah
If that happens, what will you buy HDDs for? Longer data retention time when unplugged?
Although solid state is extremely more reliable in terms of drop & temperature kinds of shock, if there are surge or power outage problems, HDDs are much more likely to survive (sometimes the enclosure will get fried but the data will still be retrievable and the drive rescuable via pcb replacement if the rom isn’t destroyed).
However, solid reliability estimates are difficult since they take time and nobody buys five-year-old drives (especially not several year old SSDs), and the failure rates provided by manufacturers are about as realistic as rotational velocidensity, so it’s a huge subject of debate. Meaning: people will still be using HDDs for quite a while.
Meaning: people will still be using HDDs for quite a while.
I disagree and I think you need only look at history. New technologies start off really lame (the first SSD’s were not competitive with HDD’s. But the SSD’s did have an advantage (speed and shock resistance). The HDD companies ignore the new competitors, because they seem so lame. Over time the new entrant (the SSD) improve and eat the entrenched companies lunch. The HDD companies are aware it’s happening, but it’s too late.
The reason I say “history” above, is because this has happened many times as new HDD technologies came around. Anyway, this history is covered much better in the book the Innovator’s Dilema.
A good read I think.
Or, just think back to how fast floppies disappeared when CD’s showed up. Now CD’s are almost gone. When the all the major PC makers stop buying HDD’s and only ship SSD’s, the volume won’t be there anymore to make HDD’s cheap enough for your servers.
Counter example: Some large companies still back up to tape!
Some tapes are apparently quite big now/soon?.
EDIT: Apparently fujifilm also has one coming out, “hinted at” as sometime in 2015
just think back to how fast floppies disappeared when CD’s showed up
CDs showed up in 1982 and CD-Rs showed up in 1988. It was considered shocking when the iMac omitted a floppy drive when it debuted in 1998, and I think it became common to omit floppy drives around 2005. CD-Rs, from their 1988 debut, could hold some 256–512 times the data of a floppy disk.
So, are you saying you think hard disk drives will disappear about 17 years after SSDs surpass their capacity by three orders of magnitude? I think it’s unlikely that hard disk drives will last that long.
Now CD’s are almost gone.
That was probably not the best part of my argument. :)
I think it’s unlikely that hard disk drives will last that long.
Yep. Buggy whips.